Expected effects of Global Risks in the Peruvian Economy (2017)

Abstract

This article identifies and analyzes the local risk-effects that would arise from the realization of the so-called global risks. Global risks are seen as threats that together with local vulnerability local effects and / or risks are generated, which are Concentrated in the economic and social sectors. For this study we used the hypothetical - deductive method with the support of quantitative methods linked to mathematics and statistics - theory of graphs and metrics of relations and influences, for this was used as databases the collection of global risks of 2017. In conjunction with the bases of the local vulnerability indexes for the country; There is a strong relationship and influence of trends on global risks, global risks on vulnerability and global trends and risks on local risk effects, finding that Peru has an average risk on a scale of low to High, and this degree or level is influenced by the ratio of global risks and vulnerability.